Simming the NCAA: Week 7-2012

By: legallymaize

Last week was just brutal. NCAA has made some bad picks before, but it’s never gone 0-5 straight up. And there weren’t really any bright spots. A few of the results I questioned; for instance, I knew that WVU-UT would double or triple that score. And I thought the Michigan-Purdue prediction was whack. But it just wasn’t the sim’s week.

Now on to this week’s games, with hopefully better results:

#3 South Carolina @ #9 LSU

Team    1st        2nd      3rd       4th       Final
USC       0            7         7           0          14
LSU       10           7         7          14         38


USC:    C. Shaw 17/28, 204 yds, 1 td
M. Lattimore 19 car, 66 yds, 1 td
D. Byrd 3 rec, 63 yds, 1 td

LSU: Z. Mettenberger 18/25, 238 yds, 4 td
K. Hilliard 32 car, 102 yds, 1 td
R. Shepard 5 rec, 66 yds, 2 td

NCAA says Tigers bigtime in the bayou. My gut agrees. I thought LSU was the real deal, and I’ve been waiting for weeks for South Carolina to get exposed. But the way these teams have been playing, I don’t know…

#17 Stanford @ #7 Notre Dame

Team    1st        2nd      3rd       4th       Final
STAN      7           0         0          7          14
ND         0          10         7         10          27


STAN:  J. Nunes 17/33, 211 yds, 1 td, 1 int
S. Taylor 17 car, 40 yds, 1 td
Z. Ertz 8 rec, 118 yds

ND:    E. Golson 26/42, 276 yds, 2 td, 1 int
C. Wood 21 car, 77 yds
T. Jones 8 rec, 107 yds, 2 td

This is an interesting matchup of two teams I don’t think are as good as their record or ranking would suggest. On the one hand, I’m not confident in Stanford, so I could totally see this as the result. On the other, I’m waiting for Notre Dame to fall apart. I definitely think Taylor will have trouble running the ball, so this will come down to Nunes vs. Golson through the air. Will someone finally take advantage of a weak Irish secondary?

#15 Texas @  #13 Oklahoma

Team    1st        2nd      3rd       4th       Final
TEX       7           0          0           7         14
OU        7           10         0          3         20


TEX:    D. Ash 18/35, 240 yds, 2 td, 1 int
M. Brown 17 car, 67 yds
M. Davis 7 rec, 93 yds, 1 td

OU:    L. Jones 16/33, 247 yds, 1 td
D. Williams 27 car, 112 yds, 1 td
K. Stills 4 rec, 83 yds, 1 td

It’s time for the Red River Shootout, and despite the teams’ preseason rankings, they’ve taken opposite paths to Dallas. Oklahoma, a potential national title pick, has been underwhelming to say the least, while Texas has looked good, only falling in a shootout to West Virginia. Despite that, NCAA says OU will continue to have success in this rivalry, and pull out the win. Both teams looks similar with decent days through the air, and the better day for the Sooners on the ground was the difference. I like Texas in this one, but I do think the game will be close.

Illinois @ #25 Michigan

Team    1st        2nd      3rd       4th       Final  
ILL         3          6           0          0          9
MICH      7          0          10         6         23


ILL:   N. Scheelhaase 15/39, 174 yds, 0 td, 1 int
D. Young 24 car, 93 yds
R. Lankford 6 rec, 72 yds

MICH:   D. Robinson 19/32, 207 yds, 3 td
F. Toussaint 25 car, 105 yds
R. Roundtree 6 rec, 69 yds, 1 td

In a wet game, Michigan ground out a defensive win . The Illini were held out of the endzone despite a slim lead at the half, and the Wolverines used a good day from Robinson to get back on top, shutting out Illinois after halftime. I do think Michigan will cover, but I don’t doubt another good day from the defense against a questionable Illini offense. In other news, Norfleet watch keeps waiting; with limited attempts, no return td yet…


One response

  1. Pingback: New Content Added: Week of October 7th « Before Visiting The Sportsbook

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