New York Giants (9-7) vs. New England (13-3) – Lucas Oil Stadium
Where to find the game: Sunday, February 5th at 6:29 PM EST on NBC.
New York Giants: Offense 8th (Rushing 32nd; Passing 5th); Defense 27th (Rushing 19th; Passing 29th).
New England: Offense 2nd (Rushing 20th; Passing 2nd); Defense 31st (Rushing 17th; Passing 31st).
When the line opened for the Super Bowl, New England was a 3-point favorite. Despite the movement of the line in the past few weeks, the line is back at 3.
These teams met on November 6th, at Gillette Stadium, with the Giants defeating New England, 24-20. New England was a 9.5-point favorite and the over/under was 51.
Vegas has the over/under at 54, down from 55.5.
10 of the 19 contests for the Giants have gone OVER. 12 of the 18 contests for the Patriots have gone OVER.
New England is 10-8 ATS (9-8 ATS as a favorite) on the year. New York Giants are 11-7-1 ATS (7-2 ATS as an underdog) on the year.
We like the over in this one, but we’ll stay away from the point spread. If we were forced to take a team ATS, we’d take the Giants.