2011 NCAA Football Strength of Schedule – 1 Through 120

Now that we are into the offseason in college football, we will reflect a bit on this past season, looking at turnover charts as well as strength of schedule. Using both of these types of information, we look to try to predict how teams will perform in 2012. Teams who had tough schedules in 2011, and easier schedules in 2012, should, theoretically, improve their win total. By contrast, teams who had easier schedules in 2011, and tougher schedules in 2012, should decrease their win total. Of course, it doesn’t always work out that way.

Notice that three of the seven toughest schedules in the country come from teams who were at or near the bottom in their conferences – Kansas, Ole Miss, and Tennessee. These teams have an excellent chance at improving their win total in 2012, considering they won 2, 2, and 5 games, respectively. LSU and Alabama made the list, despite both being in the National Championship. Auburn, Oklahoma State, and Kansas State exceeded expectations in 2011.

Notice that three teams who made bowl games had some of the easiest schedules in the country –Ohio University, Temple, and Florida International. Don’t be surprised if any of the teams in the ten easiest schedules decreased their win total in 2012. The previously mentioned six, won 10, 9, and 8, respectively. Memphis, Middle Tennessee, and Tulane struggled all year in 2011, while Hawaii went 1-4 down the stretch.

NOTE: The rankings do not include games played against FCS opponents.

Rank Team Conference Opponent Win%

1

LSU SEC

69.3333%

2

Alabama SEC

65.8252%

3

Auburn SEC

64.6018%

4

Kansas Big 12

64.4101%

5

Tennessee SEC

63.1373%

6

Oklahoma State Big 12

62.9139%

7

Ole Miss SEC

62.8627%

8

Penn State Big Ten

62.1429%

9

Kansas State Big 12

62.0438%

10

Nebraska Big Ten

61.8375%

11

Baylor Big 12

61.6637%

12

Oklahoma Big 12

61.5894%

13

Georgia SEC

60.9917%

14

Iowa State Big 12

60.8696%

15

Clemson ACC

60.1990%

16

South Carolina SEC

59.9271%

17

Michigan Big Ten

59.5432%

18

Virginia Tech ACC

59.5357%

19

Mississippi State SEC

59.4937%

20

Texas A&M Big 12

59.4684%

21

Tulsa C-USA

59.4684%

22

Texas Big 12

59.2105%

23

Minnesota Big Ten

58.9942%

24

Marshall C-USA

58.8235%

25

Arkansas SEC

58.6207%

26

Florida SEC

58.1982%

27

Missouri Big 12

58.0470%

28

Oregon PAC-12

57.9639%

29

North Carolina ACC

57.6302%

30

Oregon State PAC-12

57.6108%

31

Maryland ACC

57.5639%

32

Notre Dame Independent

57.5042%

33

Washington PAC-12

57.2464%

34

Vanderbilt SEC

57.0370%

35

West Virginia Big East

57.0128%

36

Texas Tech Big 12

56.9472%

37

Indiana Big Ten

56.8401%

38

Wisconsin Big Ten

56.7921%

39

Kent State MAC

56.0878%

40

Louisville Big East

55.9633%

41

TCU Mountain West

55.9633%

42

UCLA PAC-12

55.8282%

43

Akron MAC

55.4758%

44

Syracuse Big East

55.3785%

45

Navy Independent

55.2894%

46

Pittsburgh Big East

55.2294%

47

Toledo MAC

54.9815%

48

Rice C-USA

54.8501%

49

South Florida Big East

54.7475%

50

Northern Illinois MAC

54.2435%

51

Kentucky SEC

54.1502%

52

Bowling Green MAC

54.0594%

53

Ohio State Big Ten

54.0230%

54

USC PAC-12

53.9823%

55

Michigan State Big Ten

53.9474%

56

Wyoming Mountain West

53.9394%

57

Iowa Big Ten

53.8739%

58

Stanford PAC-12

53.5655%

59

Illinois Big Ten

53.1915%

60

Central Michigan MAC

53.1746%

61

Boise State Mountain West

53.0579%

62

California PAC-12

53.0249%

63

Rutgers Big East

52.9851%

64

Arizona PAC-12

52.9412%

65

NC State ACC

52.8942%

66

Houston C-USA

52.8239%

67

SMU C-USA

52.4680%

68

East Carolina C-USA

52.3466%

69

Duke ACC

52.1739%

70

Louisiana Tech WAC

52.0572%

71

UNLV Mountain West

51.7787%

72

Miami (FL) ACC

51.4911%

73

New Mexico Mountain West

51.4911%

74

Southern Miss C-USA

51.3699%

75

Connecticut Big East

51.2974%

76

Colorado PAC-12

51.2356%

77

Eastern Michigan MAC

50.8929%

78

Wake Forest ACC

50.8137%

79

UCF C-USA

50.5976%

80

Air Force Mountain West

50.4132%

81

Virginia ACC

50.3650%

82

La-Monroe Sun Belt

50.3006%

83

Boston College ACC

50.1976%

84

San Diego State Mountain West

50.1859%

85

Georgia Tech ACC

50.0904%

86

Ball State MAC

50.0000%

87

Arizona State PAC-12

49.8990%

88

Purdue Big Ten

49.4585%

89

Western Michigan MAC

49.4424%

90

Florida State ACC

49.4098%

91

Northwestern Big Ten

49.2647%

92

Washington State PAC-12

49.0347%

93

Army Independent

48.6166%

94

Utah PAC-12

48.5507%

95

Cincinnati Big East

48.5075%

96

Utah State WAC

48.0144%

97

Arkansas State Sun Belt

47.9853%

98

Fresno State WAC

47.8261%

99

UTEP C-USA

47.7228%

100

Nevada WAC

47.6821%

101

La-Lafayette Sun Belt

47.6636%

102

North Texas Sun Belt

47.5298%

103

BYU Independent

47.1560%

104

Western Kentucky Sun Belt

46.9388%

105

Florida Atlantic Sun Belt

46.9091%

106

Troy Sun Belt

46.8635%

107

Idaho WAC

46.5619%

108

Colorado State Mountain West

46.4000%

109

Ohio University MAC

46.1670%

110

Miami (OH) MAC

46.0259%

111

Buffalo MAC

45.7490%

112

San Jose State WAC

45.3237%

113

New Mexico State WAC

44.2786%

114

Temple MAC

44.0454%

115

UAB C-USA

43.9856%

116

Memphis C-USA

42.6295%

117

Middle Tennessee Sun Belt

42.3290%

118

Florida Int’l Sun Belt

39.5189%

119

Tulane C-USA

39.2120%

120

Hawaii WAC

37.7939%

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  1. Pingback: New Content Added: Week of January 22nd « beforevisitingthesportsbook

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